Energy storage technology is one of the critical supporting technologies to achieve carbon neutrality target. However, the investment in energy storage technology in China faces policy and other uncertain fa. ••Propose a real options model for energy storage sequential investment decision.••Policy adjustmen. Symbol DefinitionEi Investment benefit. 1.1. MotivationIn recent years, the rapid growth of the electric load has led to an increasing peak-valley difference in the grid. Meanwhile, large-scale rene. 2.1. AssumptionsThis study assumes that, in the face of multiple uncertainties in policy, technological innovation, and the market, firms can choos. 3.1. DataThis section considers energy storage participation in peaking auxiliary services as an example to verify the model validity and to illustrate t.
Is there a realistic investment decision framework for energy storage technology?
Therefore, in order to provide a more realistic investment decisions framework for energy storage technology, this study develops a sequential investment decision model based on real options theory, which can consider policy, technological innovation, and market uncertainties.
Should you invest in future energy storage technologies?
Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy. Therefore, direct investment in future energy storage technologies is the best choice when new technologies are already available.
How to choose the best energy storage investment scheme?
By solving for the investment threshold and investment opportunity value under various uncertainties and different strategies, the optimal investment scheme can be obtained. Finally, to verify the validity of the model, it is applied to investment decisions for energy storage participation in China's peaking auxiliary service market.
How to promote energy storage technology investment?
Therefore, increasing the technology innovation level, as indicated by unit benefit coefficient, can promote energy storage technology investment. On the other hand, reducing the unit investment cost can mainly increase the investment opportunity value.
However, for new technologies, the investment cost is lower and the benefit is higher, which has a better investment value than the current energy storage technologies. Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy.
Should firms invest in energy storage technologies to generate revenue?
This study assumes that, in the face of multiple uncertainties in policy, technological innovation, and the market, firms can choose to invest in existing energy storage technologies or future improved versions of the technology to generate revenue.